Monday, July 28, 2014

Social Security Versus CBO – Who Do You Trust?


  The 2014 Social Security report to Congress is finally out (Link). The report was released four-months later than permitted by law; this is the sixth year in a row that the Report has been late. The word 'sloppy' comes to mind; Treasury … [Continue reading]

Sunday, May 25, 2014

On Drip, Rake and Big Swinging Dicks


  Years ago, when I was a Wall Street banker, there was a ton of pressure to make money TODAY. If you made money today (the calendar year) you got a big bonus, you got a raise and promotion and more capital allocated to what you were doing so … [Continue reading]

Saturday, April 26, 2014

What’s A Trillion Among Friends?

Screen Shot 2014-04-24 at 8.09.19 AM

  The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) came out with its latest baseline estimates for Social Security (SS) this week.  This is the full report:     As an ex Wall Streeter I always go to the 'Cash Flow' numbers first, as cash … [Continue reading]

Thursday, April 17, 2014

A Ramble on PR

Screen Shot 2014-04-15 at 9.48.59 AM 1

  To me, the big, big, big Macro economic factor is population growth (or the lack of it). Coupled with population growth is the rate of aging within the population. I don't care what the Fed and all the other CB's do to push back on the … [Continue reading]

Saturday, April 5, 2014

On Lewis and HFT


  I'm amazed at what's happened since the Mike Lewis/60 Minutes interview. It's like the book has unearthed some heretofore unknown information. As a result of these 'revelations' the Press has gone mad (it's a global story), and the FBI, SEC … [Continue reading]

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Adios Fannie Pref


  I first wrote about (and got invested in)  the Fannie and Freddie Preferred stock back in the summer of 2009, Link. As of today, the last of those shares have been sold. For those who followed my path, an explanation for my exit. By pure … [Continue reading]

Sunday, March 9, 2014

Wall Street To The Rescue??


  In March of 2011 I had this to say about Puerto Rico and its muni bonds:   The weather is great. The beaches are beautiful. The food is good and the drinks are better. The bonds, on the other hand, don’t get on my “buy” list. … [Continue reading]

Saturday, February 15, 2014

White House: “Weather practically everywhere is being caused by climate change”

U.S. President Obama gets direction from White House science adviser Holdren during event on South Lawn at White House in Washington

  So Obama went to California to talk drought and climate change. He brought some cash with him to help the state cope with the water shortage. The Prez is right to be worried about this drought, after all, Cali is 15% of the US economy. The … [Continue reading]

Tuesday, January 28, 2014

Obama on the Money – SOTU Edition

Screen Shot 2014-01-27 at 7.17.10 PM

  The Big O will give us the SOTU pep talk tonight. Obama will pound on the theme of income inequality in America. A Wordle of the SOTUS will look like:     The President will be using language that misses the mark. The issue at … [Continue reading]

Sunday, January 26, 2014

Which Door Will Yellen Choose?


  Two theories to explain the year-to-date global dumpathon. The first is that it's all local issues - no single macro story explains the depth of the sell off. Some examples (and why they are individually no big deal):   + Turkey is facing … [Continue reading]